Monday, October 17, 2016

Part of the reason I made this blog was to make myself a more disciplined gambler. And it has been helpful. During the week I have the time to sit down and think through these bets and make the right decision. After another disastrous Saturday 0-2 performance I am going to make the commitment to not bet games on the weekend. My wife and friends need too much attention on the weekends. My wife specifically can't go more than 10 minutes with out getting some sort of attention. I can't blame them though, as I am the absolute nutz to play with.

Last Friday was one of those nights were gambling can crush your soul. In this instance it was softened by the fact that being a Bucks fan is a miserable experience. Let me explain.

John Hambone, the Bucks GM, sold the right's to the 38th pick in the draft to the Golden State Warriors for Pat McCaw. Bucks fans were justifiably angry with this move as the Bucks have one of the worst benches in the league and are in desperate need of talent. Instead of "owning the future" we "Owned 2.4 million dollars." Which we of course we turned around to give Miles fucking Plumlee 52$ million dollars. Mother fuck.

I must digress as I could rant and bitch about the Bucks all day. Why this is relevant is I made a $50 dollar bet on the Nuggets to win at home vs the Golden State Warriors. This bet was +250 and would have won me $125. On Friday I predicted: "I'm banking on the fact that I just love Denver's depth, and I think they will roll the end of Golden State's crap bench." 

Whelp I had it completely backward. Denver's starters outplayed Golden State's starters and Denver's bench pooped away a 15 point lead with 4 minutes to go in the 4th. The reason why I brought up the Bucks was - of course Pat McCaw had to be the guy to go nutzo. He scored 18 points in the final 9 minutes of the game with 4/4 in OT for 10 points ... including a game tying 3 with two seconds left in the 4th quarter to force overtime.... and the go ahead floater with 1.1 seconds left in OT to win the game. UGH.

Steve Kerr after the game - "As soon as we went to the bench, McCaw became the leader. I've watched a lot of games in my life, but I'm not sure if I ever seen someone make a game tying 3 to send it into overtime and then make a buzzer beater in OT to win the game. That just doesn't happen"

So not only did I take a $175 kick in the dick from McCaw going nutz.... my favorite team dealt away a solid SG prospect, for cash, to the team I hate most in the league. Fucking awesome. So instead of being mad at losing money at gambling, I got to be mad at the Bucks. Thanks guys!

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So there are 3 types of bets I have been making so far: Spread bets, Money Lines, and Over Unders. After evaluating my betting history so far, is what I have come up with.

Spread bets - I am 8-0
Over Under - I am 4-4
Money Lines I am 1-2 (I won't focus on these, as they are game specific, although I think I have made good choices on these so far)

With that in mind, I am going to focus on making spread bets as I haven't lost with those and have been mediocre with over unders. Tonight I have two bet's that I like:

Clips@Jazz - $80 on Jazz -2
Charlotte@Bulls - $60 on Hornets +5

Hopefully I can keep the spread bet steak alive.

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