2nd post for this Friday

My betting strategy for this year is going to be the strategy I use for blackjack - Positive Progression. In blackjack if you play long enough you will eventually lose - that's just how it goes. My strategy in blackjack is raise or double my bet when I win. The theory is if you can catch a hot string of cards you can walk away winning meaningful money. If you buy in for $100, make a bunch of $10 bets and walk away with $150 - that's ok I guess - but who cares? Not worth my time or effort.

I discussed this with a good friend of mine who also likes using positive progression in black jack a few weeks ago. He is also a degenerate gambler - way worse than me even. He bets on NFL, MLB, NHL, Soccer, College Football, Golf... pretty much everything besides women's sports, because you gotta draw the line somewhere.  When I approached him about using that strategy for sports betting - he hated it. "blackjack the house has an advantage, with sports betting I know I'm going to win, so I don't need that." Oh, well ok then! I too feel like I can be a consistent winner... but.... I'm not there yet. So I am giving this strategy a shot.

The first 3 straight up bets I made this week were for $25 and the lost parlay was for $15. Up $60.

*Glances at the lines today*
Denver +2 1/2
Lakers - 2 1/2

Huh? In what would should the Lakers be favored in any professional basketball game? With out too much thought I immediately slapped down $50 on Denver. (Part of my haste was the lines just got posted, and yesterday a line I liked a lot moved 3 points in 20 mins and I ended up missing out on a winning bet)

Maybe the $50 was a bit hasty I thought. Sometimes when you see a line that is super fishy - something is up. Maybe Vegas knows something. After more thought - I put down another $25. Denver like the Jazz have just a ton of useful players and are extremely deep and the Lakers are the exact opposite.

The positive progression part at the beginning was probably a post ad hoc justification for my big bet, but whatever - it's my new strategy and I'm sticking to it. Hopefully I'll be able to make a $100 bet tomorrow with my winnings.