My winning streak had to come to an end eventually. That's what you get when you try and make picks while on the golf course.

With a week of preseason in the books, one thing jumps out at me - home teams are killing road teams. Home teams are 22-10 with an average win by 5.9 points a game. Good for a 68% winning percentage. Just for reference, regular home teams won just 53% last year. Logically it makes sense, home teams have fans they want to please in the stands, so they have some incentive to win. For example, last week while I was watching Jazz @ Suns, Earl Watson put Devin Booker (who started) back into the game with 3 minutes to go to try and win. While the Jazz were content to leave the end of their bench in the game.

With that in mind I took Hornets moneyline -175 at home against the T-Wolves for a cool $100. Couple reasons why I really like this spot. The Hornets are 0-3 - no team wants to go winless in preseason, no matter how much people say preseason doesn't matter. The other reason I like this spot is I think the T-Wolves might be the most overrated team in all of the NBA right now. How Vegas set the over under at 41 wins - I'll never know. As much as I think Towns is the real deal, they are too young and bad to win that many games. My strategy early in the season will be to bet against them.

My other bet for today is for $25 Spurs at Pistons under 196 1/2. Even if the Spurs don't care about playing starters many minutes, they will still want to see the end of their bench play well on defense. This O/U number should be closer to 186 than to 196.